Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
Company makes 3rd cut to renewables business outlook this year
Reduces both margin and volume outlook
Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel costs
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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto
HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel organization for the third time this year due to falling prices and also lowered its expected sales volumes, sending the company's share rate down 10%.
Neste stated a drop in the price of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.
A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.
Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.
The company now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had forecasted because the start of the year, it included.
A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.
"Renewable products' prices have actually been adversely impacted by a considerable decline in (the) diesel cost during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.
"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have actually not reduced and renewable product market value premiums have actually stayed weak," the business included.
Industry executives and analysts have stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.
While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.
Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)